
The
first waves of selling and price declines these past couple of years were
painful..
The final wave, the one that clears through
the millions of vacant, foreclosed, overpriced, overbuilt, badly located, for
sale and unwanted homes, the one that wipes away the rampant fraud and
speculation, the one that gets home prices back to (or below) their historical
averages, well that wave is just now coming ashore.
And that's just the US we're talking about - remember
we still have a whole world to go.
And you know what,
except for arrogant and sadly misinformed idiot ramen-eating
realtors on commission who continue to destroy what little credibility they
have left (do they have any left?) by calling bottom month after month after
month, I think most people now see it coming.
Let the
final wave of selling and price reductions now come
ashore.
After all, as HP'ers well know, it hath been
foretold.
Housing: It'll get
worse
Hard hit cities like Sacramento, Phoenix and Las
Vegas are set for more steep losses. Some real estate experts are bracing for
price drops of as much as 50%.
NEW YORK (CNNMoney.com) -- With
home prices plunging by more than 30% in some markets, bargain-hunters are ready
to pounce.
But it may pay for buyers to wait. Many housing experts say
that the worst-hit metro areas have even farther to fall, and could see
total drops of as much as 50%.
"The housing boom was
unprecedented in U.S. history," said Michael Youngblood, a portfolio analyst
with FBR Investment Management, "and the correction will be as
well."
Many erstwhile bubble cities have sustained particularly brutal
hits. The median- price of a home in Sacramento,
Calif. was down 35% during the three months ended May 31 compared to the same
period last year, according to the real estate web site Trulia.com. In Riverside,
Calif. prices fell 29%, while San Diego prices dropped 26%.
Smaller
cities in California's Central Valley, such as Stockton
(-39%), Modesto
(-37%) and Bakersfield
(-29%), also recorded steep declines.
Outside California,
hard-hit markets include Phoenix
(-18.8%), Las
Vegas (-22%), West
Palm Beach, Fla. (-32%) and Cape
Coral, Fla. (-35%).
Youngblood
expects that these markets will likely endure total price drops of 50% or
more.